Climate change is expected to impact marine ecosystems throughout the world; however, the severity of these impacts will vary regionally. This theme session seeks examples of the types of regional impacts that are expected in the near term (2020-2040) and longer term (2080-2100). We also seek papers that describe the relative exposure of marine organisms to changing environmental conditions and those that address the ecological as well as socioeconomic implications of shifting spatial distributions and changes in population productivity (growth, reproductive success, and mortality).
Also encouraged are projects that compare outcomes from different projection modeling platforms, discuss the range of uncertainties (scenario, parameter, and structural) associated with regional climate projections, and address ecological realism and uncertainty.
There is growing recognition that projections of the implications of climate change on fisheries and fishery-dependent communities require the incorporation of representative fishing pathways (RFPs) to fully depict the range of possible mitigation scenarios that could be considered by managers. Regional examples of the selection process for establishing RFPs and the performance of the RFPs relative to status quo are encouraged.
This theme session will allow researchers to compare results, evaluate harvest control rules, and discuss challenges encountered in developing multi-model ensembles of impacts on fish and fisheries.
Photo: Sven Bertil Johnson